KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%
Marktqualitat
79 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
1647,6 €
Liquidität
180.749,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.3% / 4.9%
Spread
1.6 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
6. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Fed rate cut before 2027?
KalshiFed rate cut by which date?
PolymarketFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
PolymarketECB rate cut in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExFed rate cut by which date?
LimitlessRegeln
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Federal Reserve
- For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
- The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Offene Märkte
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 543.490,3 €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 44,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? entschieden?
- Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.