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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Fed
  3. ECB rate cut in 2026?
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

FedOne-OffEuropeCentral Banks6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 14%
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

1356,2 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

12.0% / 15.0%

Spread

25.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

23. Dez. 25, 22:4631. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes14%

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,701.00+1.92%EthereumETH$1,652.96+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.13+0.87%

Verwandte Märkte

Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

2485,9 €
No change: 97%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

16 €
3.1%+: 59%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?

Who will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?

0 €
Isabel Schnabel: 98%PredictItPREDICTIT
Manifold Markets

Will the Federal Open Market Committee announce a decrease in the federal funds rate at the June 17, 2026, meeting?

99 €
Ja: 7.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

0,1 €
Before Jan 2027: 15%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?

0 €
Ja: 7.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.19%BNBBNB$595.50+1.31%XRPXRP$1.12-0.28%CardanoADA$0.1662+2.23%HyperliquidHYPE$54.88-2.70%LitecoinLTC$42.80+0.16%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindeskMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain ReporterBitcoin price falls below $60K as hot U.S. jobs report crushes rate cut hopesCrypto News

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.