PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 13%
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
9,7 €
Liquidität
2921,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
8.3%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+2.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
23. Dez. 25, 22:4531. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes13%
Volumentrend
$115. Juli16T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
507,8 €Ja: 36%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which central banks will hike before 2027?
58,9 €Bank of Canada: 38%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
31,6 €Ja: 27%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?
21,1 €2.50% or less: 5.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Lisa Cook departure announced?
0 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
0 €Exactly 1.50%: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.