KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 25.07.2026, 22:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore Sep 1, 2026 5%
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
15.386,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
50.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
11. Mai 26, 19:301. Sept. 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Sep 1, 20265%
Volumentrend
$213. Juli21T Daten25. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Will the federal funds rate fall below 2.5% by the end of July 2026?
0 €Ja: 1.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
44 €2023: 0.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026
10,4 €Above 5.6%: 77%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will rates hit zero in 2026?
0 €Ja: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
0 €Ja: 23.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
0 €Rebecca Patterson: 7%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Lisa DeNell Cook leaves or announces that they will leave their position as Federal Reserve Governor before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement that they will leave office is sufficient to immediately resolve the market to Yes.
- However, the announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do not count.
- Leaving office as a result of death will not count.
- Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) will count even without a prior announcement.