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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

1.0% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 12%+0.0%
Marktqualitat

64 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

302 €

Liquidität

29.259,7 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-1.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

19. Jan. 26, 20:3531. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes12%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Verwandte Märkte

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

80.869,3 €
December 31: 16%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

48.777,9 €
December 31,: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

46.008,1 €
Ja: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,6 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

446,9 €
Ja: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
Ja: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,806.80+2.19%EthereumETH$1,657.71+1.65%SolanaSOL$65.21+1.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.51%XRPXRP$1.12+0.35%BNBBNB$596.32+1.80%

Verwandte Nachrichten

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.