Will Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
1.0 Pkt. (24h)One-OffGeopolitikRussia / UkraineEurope3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31, 6%-1.0ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
959,1 €
Liquidität
57.822,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
64
7d-Änderung
-0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
28. Mai 25, 22:16 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verloren
Verloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country between May 28 and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
- Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
