PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 18%-3.0ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
9654,2 €
Liquidität
91.301,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
7
7d-Änderung
-4.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
15. Sept. 26, 21:29 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?
PolymarketSaudi airspace closed by which date?
PolymarketIran full airspace closure by which date?
PolymarketIran full airspace closure by which date?
FutuurBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli Airspace (The Tel Aviv Flight Information Region (FIR)/LLLL) is closed between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying closure occurs when the aviation or governmental authority responsible for overseeing the specified airspace region issues a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM), or other official order under the regulations of the jurisdiction responsible for that airspace region, which generally cancels or suspends commercial aviation across the specified airspace region, and such closure is not excluded under the exclusions provision below.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from the specified airspace region.
- A closure is not disqualified because the order permits limited exceptions, including humanitarian, medical, repatriation, or emergency flights, or select flights authorized by the responsible authority, provided that commercial flights are prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions.
- The following are not qualifying closures: (i) closures due to weather, including volcanic and seismic activity; (ii) closures for holidays or religious observances; (iii) closures planned or announced before Contract Issuance; (iv) closures occurring on a regular cadence whose occurrence was determined before Contract Issuance, even if not announced; (v) closures resulting from the failure or malfunction of air traffic control, navigation, communications, power, or other technical systems; (vi) restrictions applying to aircraft by nationality, state of registry, operator, or ownership rather than to commercial traffic generally; (vii) closures of a subset of the specified airspace region, including geographic sectors and altitude bands; (viii) ground stops, flow restrictions, capacity reductions, or other air traffic management measures that delay or restrict traffic without closing the specified airspace region to commercial aviation; and (ix) warnings, no-fly zones, flight suspensions, or other restrictions imposed by any party other than the aviation or governmental authorities responsible for overseeing the specified airspace region.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt7%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 656.652,7 €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 59,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 525.692,8 €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-5.0pt75.3%
- Yes+5.0pt24.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 409.952,4 €
POLYMARKETSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- October 31+12.9pt88%
- September 30+26.5pt56%
- September 221%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+0.3pt13%
- Save the Children+0.1pt10%
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029+3.0pt73%
- Before Jul 1, 2028+3.0pt68%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt56%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
- Iran leadership change by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)?
- Polymarket bewertet December 31 mit 18% (Stand: 23. September 2026).
- Wann wird Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) entschieden?
- Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli Airspace (The Tel Aviv Flight Information Region (FIR)/LLLL) is closed between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.