Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
GeopolitikOne-OffRussland / UkraineEuropa1J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 80.7%
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42
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet16. Jan. 24, 13:30 UTC2. Jan. 28, 22:59 UTC
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This market resolves YES if at any time before 2028, Russian military forces invade a country with NATO membership.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- I do not think these words necessitate hair-splitting, as I am setting up this market in good faith and trust that people in the near future are still able to negotiate the proper meanings of e.g. 'military forces' and 'invasion' in this particular context.
- But I am happy to clarify any edge cases that people can come up with.
- If so, I will update the description accordingly.
- Some points:
