Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.3 Pkt. (24h)GeopolitikOne-OffMiddle East22T
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 30 4%-0.4ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
23.970,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-0.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
21. Juli 26, 01:15 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
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MyriadRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.