PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAugust 31 6%+0.3%
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
35.916,9 €
Liquidität
31.839,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.7% / 6.6%
Spread
15.8%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
21. Juli 26, 1:1531. Aug. 26, 23:55
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
August 316%
Volumentrend
$40.9k21. Juli6T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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US-Iran nuclear deal?
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KALSHI
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Israeli Parliament dissolved by which date?
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537 €Ja: 78%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.