Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.1 Pkt. (24h)GeopolitikOne-OffMiddle East22T
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 30 3%-0.1ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
55 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
77,4 €
Liquidität
11.900,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.4 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
2
7d-Änderung
+1.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
21. Juli 26, 01:15 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.