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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikGeopolitik2J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before January 21, 2029
Before January 21, 2029 33%-2.0%
Marktqualitat

60 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

178,8 €

Liquidität

5145,7 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

32.0% / 33.0%

Spread

3.1%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

9. Jan. 25, 18:0021. Jan. 29, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before January 21, 202933%

Regeln

If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
  • Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Regeln

If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
  • Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.