KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore January 21, 2029 23%
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
25.977,9 €
Liquidität
480.396,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
26.0% / 29.0%
Spread
11.5%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
9. Jan. 25, 18:0021. Jan. 29, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before January 21, 202923%
Plattformen vergleichen· Before January 21, 2029
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt82% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Hoch | 96% | — | 14.311,2 € | 207.851,8 € | vor 14 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| Kalshi82% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Hoch | 16% | — | 196,8 € | 717.657,9 € | vor 14 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese SeiteAktivste | Mittel | 23% | — | 25.977,9 € | 480.396,9 € | vor 14 Minuten | |
 Limitless82% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 95% | — | 0 € | 0 € | vor 14 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets82% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 94% | — | — | — | vor 5 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets78% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 95% | — | — | — | vor 38 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 91% | — | — | — | gestern | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5Mon
96%
4%
100 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen30,8 Mio. €
24h-Volumen14.311,2 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
5Mon
16%
6%
0%
83 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen4,4 Mio. €
24h-Volumen196,8 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Limitless
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5Mon
94.6%
5.5%
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen22.033,2 €
24h-Volumen0 €
LIMITLESSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
2J
91%
9%
Community-Prognose1.259 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5Mon
94.1%
5.9%
Community-Prognose13 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
2J
95.3%
4.7%
Community-Prognose41 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.3k95.4%POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPapervor 7 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPapervor 7 Tagen$1.1k93.3%KALSHIBefore 2027 — Novor 17 Tagen
KALSHIBefore 2027 — Novor 17 Tagen$1.5k95.4%POLYMARKETNoNxbYidvor 23 Tagen
POLYMARKETNoNxbYidvor 23 TagenVolumentrend
$29.6k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
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How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
882,8 €$0 / No Acquisition: 82%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.