Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
2.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlMiddle EastChessSport1J
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBenjamin Netanyahu 36%+2.0%Führend unter 18 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
376,1 €
Liquidität
35.450,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
33.0% / 38.0%
Spread
15.2%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
11. Apr. 26, 0:0027. Okt. 27, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Benjamin Netanyahu36%
Plattformen vergleichen· Gadi Eisenkot
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt83% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 52% | -1pt | 475.526,7 € | 2 Mio. € | vor 6 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 52% | -1pt | 376,1 € | 35.450,1 € | vor 26 Minuten | |
 Futuur68% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 53% | 0pt | 0 € | 3109,9 € | vor 26 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Limitless83% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 52% | -1pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 26 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets83% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 46% | -7pt | — | — | vor 35 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets78% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 51% | -2pt | — | — | vor 8 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets83% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 48% | -5pt | — | — | vor 8 Tagen | Öffnen → |
 PredictIt69% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 3% | -50pt | — | — | vor 26 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
5Mon
+3.8%52%
-2.0%34%
-1.0%7%
+25 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen26,1 Mio. €
24h-Volumen475.526,7 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3J
46%
23.7%
17.4%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose49 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Limitless
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?
1J
52%
50%
50%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen3289,8 €
24h-Volumen0 €
LIMITLESSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister?
5Mon
48.3%
18.3%
18.1%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose7 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?
3Mon
+8.1%51.2%
-0.5%37.5%
-7.6%7.7%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose100 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf PredictIt
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
9.0%3J
-9.0%42%
16%
-3.0%9%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAuch verfügbar auf Futuur
Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
3Mon
53%
37%
9%
44 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen879,4 €
24h-Volumen0 €
FUTUURRegeln
If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Naftali Bennett becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.2k66.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistProvor 8 Std.
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POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36vor 22 Std.$6.3k62.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfencevor 3 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfencevor 3 Tagen$11.0k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36vor 6 Tagen
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POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcryptvor 8 Tagen$6.6k32.2%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countrysidevor 8 Tagen
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If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Naftali Bennett becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.