PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRigetti 79%+5.3%Führend unter 18 Optionen
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
61,1 €
Liquidität
9298,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
19.0% / 52.0%
Spread
173.7%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+17.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
3. Feb. 26, 15:4331. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Rigetti79%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
5.0%6Mon
+5.0%38%
+8.0%32%
+2.0%33%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
79 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen7588,2 €
24h-Volumen247,4 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company.
- Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count.
- Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
- An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company.
- Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count.
- Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
- An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.