Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseUSA Rare Earth 54.8%Führend unter 12 Optionen
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Stunden
Veraltet13. Okt. 25, 12:01 UTC20. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
KalshiWhat will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
KalshiWill DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsCourt packing during Trump administration?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will the US take a stake in?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" for any company in which the United States Federal Government, under the Trump administration, acquires a direct equity stake.
- A "direct equity stake" is defined as the US Federal Government owning shares of the company's stock, resulting from an investment, bailout, or other financial transaction that confers ownership.
- The stake must be publicly disclosed through official government channels (e.g., Treasury Department announcements, SEC filings) or widely reported by reputable financial news organizations (e.g., The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Reuters).
- The market will resolve "No" for any company that does not meet this criterion by January 20th, 2029.
- ("Trump administration" colloquially refers to the 47th administration.)
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 180.513,6 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 105.114,9 €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in??
- Manifold Markets bewertet USA Rare Earth mit 55% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in? entschieden?
- Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in? soll am 20. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria