Will the Clarity Act become law?
1.0 Pkt. (24h)One-OffKryptoRegulierungCommoditiesStablecoinPolitik3Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Oct 1, 2027 39%-6.0ptFührend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
74.346,5 €
Liquidität
2,8 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
4. Dez. 25, 01:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
KalshiClarity Act will pass in September
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
LimitlessWill the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) become law by December 31 2026?
ForecastExClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiRegeln
If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Library of Congress
- For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
- Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
- The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
- Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
- Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:
Offene Märkte
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 935.990,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 714.511,2 €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $77,000 or above98%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 567.248,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 564.277,4 €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $79,365.65 target
- No84%
- Yes16%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 482.816,1 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $78,700 or above99%
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,600 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 402.973,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 382.598,4 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the Clarity Act become law??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Oct 1, 2027 mit 39% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the Clarity Act become law? entschieden?
- Will the Clarity Act become law? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the Clarity Act become law? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.