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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Krypto
  3. Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

1.0% (24h)One-OffKryptoRegulierungCommoditiesStablecoinPolitik6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before 2027
Before 2027 47%+1.0%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

83,3 €

Liquidität

7655,5 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

43.0% / 47.0%

Spread

9.3%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten

4. Dez. 25, 1:001. Jan. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Before May
Before May
0%
Before June
Before June
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before 202747%

Regeln

If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
  • Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
  • The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
  • Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
  • Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,643.79+1.88%EthereumETH$1,653.31+1.52%SolanaSOL$65.18+1.10%XRPXRP$1.12-0.05%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.26%BNBBNB$596.07+1.49%

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Regeln

If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
  • Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
  • The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
  • Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
  • Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion: