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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Regulierung
  3. SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

0.5% (24h)RegulierungOne-OffCommoditiesUS Politics6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31
December 31 25%
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

49,4 €

Liquidität

10.529,8 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-2.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

16. Juli 25, 19:4431. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

December 3125%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
  • The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website.
  • The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
  • The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website.
  • The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.