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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Regulierung
  3. Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

RegulierungOne-OffPolitikUS Politics19T
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before July 2026
Before July 2026 1%
Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

15,1 €

Liquidität

6089,6 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

0.6% / 1.2%

Spread

100.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

17. Dez. 25, 18:001. Juli 26, 3:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before July 20261%

Regeln

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
  • Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
  • Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I.
  • The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
  • The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.

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Regeln

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
  • Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
  • Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I.
  • The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
  • The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.