How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
1.9 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlUS-PolitikUS-Zwischenwahlen 20262MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose52 15.8%-1.9ptFührend unter 12 Optionen
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56
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-0.1 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
2. Apr. 25, 00:16 UTC4. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
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How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsWhat prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the Senate midterm election of 2026? (Read Rules)
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiWhich prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the 2026 midterm election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
- By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
- If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
- Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
- Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.
