How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

0.1 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitik Wahl US Politics4Mon

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

51 18.5%+0.1pt

Führend unter 12 Optionen

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

7d-Änderung

+1.5 pts

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden

Veraltet

2. Apr. 25, 0:164. Jan. 27, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.

Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.

Vergleich von Prognosequellen

Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? · Above 52 22%

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

0.1 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitik Wahl US Politics4Mon

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

51 18.5%+0.1pt

Führend unter 12 Optionen

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

7d-Änderung

+1.5 pts

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden

Veraltet

2. Apr. 25, 0:164. Jan. 27, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.

Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.

Vergleich von Prognosequellen

Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? · Above 52 22%

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election??: Manifold Markets bewertet 51 mit 19% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
Wann wird How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? entschieden?: How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? soll am 4. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
Wie wird How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? abgerechnet?: Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
Wo wird How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? außerdem gelistet?: Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Vergleich von Prognosequellen

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Vergleich von Prognosequellen

Häufige Fragen

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