Werden die USA bestätigen, dass Außerirdische existieren?
1.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffWissenschaftUS-Politik2Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Vor dem 20. Januar 2029 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Vor dem 20. Januar 2029 Gespeicherter Geld–Brief-Kurs21%–22%Erfasst: Letzter Handel: 21% · Handelszeit unbekanntPreise in Prozent der Auszahlung, vor Gebühren; diese gespeicherten Beobachtungen sind keine ausführbaren Kurse.Führend unter 7 Optionen
Vor dem 20. Januar 2029 Gespeicherter Geld–Brief-Kurs21%–22%Erfasst: Letzter Handel: 21% · Handelszeit unbekanntPreise in Prozent der Auszahlung, vor Gebühren; diese gespeicherten Beobachtungen sind keine ausführbaren Kurse.Marktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
106.312,1 €
Open Interest
12,7 Mio. €
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Vor dem 20. Januar 2029Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
5. Dez. 25, 06:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Vor SeptemberVerloren
Vor Schließung: 1% ·
Vor OktoberVerloren
Vor Schließung: 1% ·
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Vor dem 20. Januar 2029
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
Orderbuch empfangen (nicht Kurszeit der Börse): —
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the Executive Branch of the United States government
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.