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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?

How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?

YearlyPolitikUS Politics7Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Exactly 1
Exactly 1 65%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

26,4 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

64.0% / 79.0%

Spread

23.4%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

9. Dez. 25, 15:008. Jan. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Exactly 165%

Regeln

If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
  • If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
  • If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
  • Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
  • If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,796.44+1.30%EthereumETH$1,645.36+0.28%SolanaSOL$65.38+0.91%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.64%HyperliquidHYPE$56.64-1.77%XRPXRP$1.11-0.76%

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Regeln

If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
  • If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
  • If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
  • Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
  • If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.