2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
0.1 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlUS Politics1J
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democrats, 8 to 10% 23.6%Führend unter 10 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
82 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
3252,9 €
Liquidität
1 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.5 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
4. Feb. 26, 15:00 UTC3. Nov. 27, 13:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegeln
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the Clerk of the House
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)?
- Kalshi bewertet Democrats, 8 to 10% mit 24% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) entschieden?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) soll am 3. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf PredictIt gelistet.