2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
One-OffPolitikWahlUS Politics1J
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDemocrats, 8 to 10% 22.1%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
5668,7 €
Liquidität
430.698,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
21.0% / 22.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
4. Feb. 26, 15:003. Nov. 27, 13:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democrats, 6 to 8%22%
Plattformen vergleichen· Democrats, 8 to 10%
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 25% | — | 5668,7 € | 430.698,2 € | vor 14 Minuten | |
 PredictIt87% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 25% | — | — | — | vor 14 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt
What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms?
8Mon
25%
25%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegeln
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$3.4k98.2%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — Novor 8 Tagen
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — Novor 8 Tagen$2.0k98.5%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — Novor 8 Tagen
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — Novor 8 Tagen$1.2k98.5%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — Novor 8 Tagen
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — Novor 8 TagenVolumentrend
$6.5k2. Juli26T Daten27. Juli
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If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.