KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 34%-2.0%
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2083,2 €
Liquidität
101.182,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
35.0% / 39.0%
Spread
11.4%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
16. Dez. 25, 16:001. Feb. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes34%
CoinRithm-Referenz34%· 2 Plattformen· ±5 Pkt.
JaNein
POLYMARKET
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Blue tsunami in 2026?
4Mon
39%
62%
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen26.307,6 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2.4k2. Juli7T Daten8. Juli
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1,3 Mio. €Gavin Newsom: 18%POLYMARKET
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348.235,4 €November 2: 97%POLYMARKET
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162.275,2 €James Fishback: 4%KALSHI
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2028 Republican presidential nominee
105.046 €Ivanka Trump: 1%KALSHI
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If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.