KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 55%
Marktqualitat
81 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
1305,1 €
Liquidität
204.260 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
45.0% / 46.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
16. Dez. 25, 16:00 UTC1. Feb. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
- This market will resolve based on the composition of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate on February 1, 2027.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 45%. Die Kurse liegen rund 6 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz 45% · 2 Plattformen · 6 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 193,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 506.389,7 €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 843.420,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 407.986,3 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14,8 Mio. €
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Blue tsunami in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 55% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Blue tsunami in 2026? entschieden?
- Blue tsunami in 2026? soll am 1. Februar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Blue tsunami in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Blue tsunami in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.