PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 15%
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
4456,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 18.0%
Spread
50.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-1.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
16. Juni 26, 19:171. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes15%
Volumentrend
$16. Juli2T Daten7. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Israeli Parliament dissolved by…?
596 €June 15 11.59pm ET: 2.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
135,1 €Yair Lapid: 2.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
129,5 €Ja: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
0 €Italy: 15%
KALSHI
KALSHI
US announces blockade on Iran by...?
253.916,1 €December 31: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill the Iranian regime be overthrown?
461,3 €Ja: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Tankers turn back after attacks, Polymarket sees 57.5% Hormuz normal by Dec 31Blockchain.News
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%Blockchain.NewsIran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
Gulf officials weigh US-backed Lebanon–Israel framework as Polymarket Yes slipsBlockchain.News
U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%Blockchain.News
US-Iran talks fray as Polymarket puts Dec 31 nuclear deal odds at 45.5%Blockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.