Daten vom 23.10.2026, 04:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Trump wins, what will the Democracy Index be for the US at the end of his presidency?
Will we know that Epstein didn't kill himself by 2028?
Will Xi Jinping and Putin still be elected officials when we know what causes Cannabinoid Hyperemesis Syndrome (CHS)?
Will the public know before christmas 2032 that either Vladimir Putin or Xi Jinping has received an organ transplant?
Nothing Ever Happens: October
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Regeln
Will there be a major change with Trump's election such that the U.S. does not live in a traditional US Democracy anymore? Such conditions would include things like: Trump running for a 3rd term, declaration of Martial Law at any point, removing Supreme Court Justices or ignoring a material order from SCOTUS, Executive Branch overturning a certified election result, refusing a transition of power, etc. This will be certified "yes" if a major event occurs that is considered a fundamental ending of our democracy as we know it and multiple major news organizations declare as much.
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