PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 72%+0.0%
Marktqualitat
91 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
952,2 €
Liquidität
31.462,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
71.0% / 72.0%
Spread
1.4%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+4.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
6. Jan. 26, 22:4931. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes72%
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Nothing Ever Happens 2026
6Mon
70%
30%
Community-Prognose20 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen518,1 €
24h-Volumen2,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+)
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+)
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf