PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNothing 97%+0.0pt
Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
613,3 €
Liquidität
9379,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
95.2% / 97.9%
Spread
2.7 pt
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
+0.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
11. Feb. 26, 20:1531. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Nothing97%
Volumentrend
$6992. Juli21T Daten27. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
1742,8 €Ja: 76%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
0 €Ja: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
0 €Ja: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?
1331,1 €Ja: 3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?
428,3 €Ja: 2.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Sam Trabucco plead guilty?
219,4 €Ja: 16.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - Satoshi moves any Bitcoin - Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
- Satoshi moves any Bitcoin
- This market will resolve to “Something” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time during this market's above-specified time frame.
- The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto