PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nothing 97%+0.1pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
12.570,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
96.3% / 97.8%
Spread
1.5 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
4
7d-Änderung
-0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
11. Feb. 26, 20:15 UTC31. Dez. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: Obama
PolymarketNothing ever happens 2026: Polymarket Edition
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsWill we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - Satoshi moves any Bitcoin - Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
- Satoshi moves any Bitcoin
- This market will resolve to “Something” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time during this market's above-specified time frame.
- The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto
Offene Märkte
BitcoinKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000+0.2pt100%
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000-0.7pt97%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 319.926 €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Democrat+15.0pt81%
- MAGA / Make America Great Again+8.0pt76%
- Communist / Communism+13.0pt75%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 10?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- How high will BTC get in September?
- BTC price range on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How low will BTC get in September?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
- BTC price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 15?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto?
- Polymarket bewertet Nothing mit 97% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto entschieden?
- Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: