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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Bitcoin
  3. How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?
How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

3.0% (24h)BitcoinOne-Off6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Below $55,000.00
Below $55,000.00 68%+3.0%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

71 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

199 €

Liquidität

10.773,7 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

71.0% / 72.0%

Spread

1.4%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

5. Feb. 26, 20:301. Jan. 27, 5:00
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Below $55,000.0068%

Regeln

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $60000.00 starting Jan 1, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
  • The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
  • If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
  • If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
  • The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Zugehörige Kryptos

BitcoinBTC$63,510.89-0.10%

Verwandte Märkte

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

629.640,4 €
↓ 70,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bitcoin above ___ on June 13?

Bitcoin above ___ on June 13?

586.746,9 €
50,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What price will Bitcoin hit June 8-14?

What price will Bitcoin hit June 8-14?

153.573 €
↓ 62,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bitcoin above ___ on June 14?

Bitcoin above ___ on June 14?

147.477,1 €
52,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

137.077,2 €
↓ 85,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What price will Bitcoin hit on June 12?

What price will Bitcoin hit on June 12?

116.112,5 €
↑ 64,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

ChainlinkLINK$7.84-1.10%EthereumETH$1,664.42-0.91%SolanaSOL$66.57-0.56%BNBBNB$603.27-0.11%DogecoinDOGE$0.0868+0.47%XRPXRP$1.13-0.96%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsWintermute warns Bitcoin lacks inflows needed to confirm market bottomCrypto NewsBitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsThe 0.01% Funding Rate: How Bitcoin Perpetuals Are Engineered for Rent ExtractionBlockchain ReporterMichael Saylor rejects dilution fears after $181M MSTR saleCrypto NewsNot All Bitcoin ETF Inflows Are Equal: CryptoQuant Maps the Real Drivers Behind Institutional MoneyBlockchain Reporter

Regeln

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $60000.00 starting Jan 1, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
  • The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
  • If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
  • If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
  • The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.