KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above $99,999.99 25%-1.0ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
80 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
5792,7 €
Liquidität
1,1 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
2. Jan. 26, 23:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $99999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
- The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
- If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
- If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $109999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 · 75,000 to 79,999.99 11%
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Bitcoin price in 2026? · $80K 100%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? · ↓ 60,000 100%