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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Bitcoin
  3. When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

BitcoinOne-Off6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before July 2026
Before July 2026 2%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

68 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

908,1 €

Liquidität

24.234,5 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

- / 2.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

5. Jan. 26, 20:001. Jan. 27, 5:00
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before July 20262%

Manifold MarketsAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

When Will Bitcoin cross $100,000 again?

6Mon
Manifold Markets
Before March 31 11.59pm 2026 est
0%
Manifold Markets
Before December 31 11.59PM 2026 est
25%
Manifold Markets
Before Feb 28 11.59pm 2026 est
0%

+6 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose17 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen6283 €
24h-Volumen76,1 €
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Regeln

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before May 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
  • The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
  • If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
  • If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
  • The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

Zugehörige Kryptos

BitcoinBTC$62,604.58+2.36%

Verwandte Märkte

Bitcoin above ___ on June 11?

Bitcoin above ___ on June 11?

897.039,2 €
54,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

705.116,2 €
↓ 70,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

239.214,4 €
December 31,: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bitcoin above ___ on June 12?

Bitcoin above ___ on June 12?

217.326,1 €
50,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What price will Bitcoin hit June 8-14?

What price will Bitcoin hit June 8-14?

192.763,3 €
↓ 62,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

ChainlinkLINK$7.78+1.11%EthereumETH$1,650.76+1.70%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.42%BNBBNB$594.25+1.58%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.77%XRPXRP$1.12+0.22%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsWintermute warns Bitcoin lacks inflows needed to confirm market bottomCrypto NewsBitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsThe 0.01% Funding Rate: How Bitcoin Perpetuals Are Engineered for Rent ExtractionBlockchain ReporterMichael Saylor rejects dilution fears after $181M MSTR saleCrypto NewsNot All Bitcoin ETF Inflows Are Equal: CryptoQuant Maps the Real Drivers Behind Institutional MoneyBlockchain Reporter

Regeln

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before May 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
  • The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
  • If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
  • If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
  • The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.