Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 77.1%
Prognostiker
12
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet7. Juni 25, 03:31 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketEl Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketEl Salvador Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketWill El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by which date?
PolymarketWill Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a sitting US president visit El Salvador through 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kilmar Abrego Garcia is deported to El Salvador before January 1, 2029.
- Verification will be based on official announcements from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security or reputable news outlets reporting on his deportation.
- If no such deportation occurs by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Kilmar Abrego Garcia, a Salvadoran national, entered the United States around 2011, fleeing gang violence in El Salvador.
- In 2019, an immigration judge granted him protection from deportation to El Salvador due to the threats he faced from local gangs.