PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit800–900B 39%+0.5%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
20.978,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.0% / 6.0%
Spread
100.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-0.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
26. Feb. 26, 0:3228. Feb. 27, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
800–900B39%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
US trade deficit for 2026?
8Mon
2%
1%
1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen100,5 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S.
- International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
- Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
- The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
- Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
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US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
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Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
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KALSHI
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
5,8 €$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KALSHI
KALSHI
Regeln
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S.
- International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
- Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
- The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
- Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.