Für wie viel wird US Greenland erwerben?
HandelspolitikOne-OffKapitalmaßnahmenPolitikUS-PolitikGeopolitik2J
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Daten vom 26.10.2026, 17:24 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
$0 / Keine Übernahme · —
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Gespeicherter Preis
$0 / Keine Übernahme 90.1%Führend unter 8 Optionen
$0 / Keine Übernahme 90.1%Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
110,7 €
Open Interest
645.824 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
$0 / Keine ÜbernahmeSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert17. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC22. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
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- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · $0 / Keine Übernahme
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
PolymarketWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US acquire any new territory?
KalshiWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
LimitlessWill the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is exactly $0 / No Acquisition during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Times
- The Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An "Acquisition of Greenland" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the "$0 / No Acquisition" bracket and No for all other brackets.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- $0 / No Acquisition
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is exactly $0 / No Acquisition during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $100 billion to $299 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $100 billion and $299 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $10 billion to $99 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $10 billion and $99 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $1 billion to $9 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $1 billion and $9 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $300 billion to $599 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $300 billion and $599 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $600 billion to $899 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $600 billion and $899 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $1.2 trillion or more
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is at_least $1200 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $900 billion to $1199 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $900 billion and $1199 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.