PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30, 2027 20%+6.5ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
58 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
27,1 €
Liquidität
17.254,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
17. Sept. 26, 16:08 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
KalshiWhen will Canada gain EU associate status?
KalshiIf Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?
Manifold MarketsPoland becomes the "Israel of Europe" by 2050?
Manifold MarketsJordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030
Manifold MarketsCanada admitted to the EU before 2029?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt a written diplomatic instrument that establishes an associate membership or equivalent status for Canada in relation to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- An instrument establishes an associate membership or equivalent status if it is described in its own text as establishing associate membership, associate member status, or an equivalent formulation.
- Proposals, invitations, statements of intent, negotiations, or action by only one side do not qualify.
- Existing or sector-specific trade, defence, research, or mobility arrangements alone do not qualify.
- Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both Canada and the European Union (either as an institution or as a composite of its member states).