Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
26.0 Pkt. (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffGeopolitik3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 68%-26.0pt
Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
204,1 €
Liquidität
111,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
14.0% / 50.0%
Spread
36.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+26.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
25. Aug. 26, 22:45 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will renewable energy sources generate more than 67,000 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in the US during December 2026?
ForecastExWill all energy sources generate more than 385,000 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in the US during December 2026?
ForecastExWill renewable energy sources generate more than 68,000 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in the US during December 2026?
ForecastExWill Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
PolymarketWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada, through an authorized representative of either the federal government or a provincial government, including through a state-owned enterprise, announces that it is using its authority to cut off or throttle the exportation of electricity, in whole or in part, to the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Reductions or curtailments attributable to water or supply conditions, grid reliability, maintenance, commercial or contractual factors, or other ordinary-course operational decisions will not qualify.
- An announcement of a qualifying action will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether electricity exports are actually throttled or cut off, and regardless of whether the action is subsequently suspended or reversed.
- A qualifying action must restrict the volume or flow of electricity exports.
- The imposition of surcharges, taxes, tariffs, or other price-based measures alone will not be sufficient to qualify.
