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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

0.9% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyPolitikUS PoliticsChina18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 4%-0.0%
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

177,9 €

Liquidität

7125,9 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

3.2% / 5.4%

Spread

68.8%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-1.2%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

24. Jan. 26, 17:3930. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes4%

Regeln

On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through.

Polymarket
  • (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
  • Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,606.90+2.26%EthereumETH$1,649.46+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.57%

Verwandte Märkte

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Ja: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

0 €
Ja: 34%KalshiKALSHI
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

0 €
Ja: 0%KalshiKALSHI
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,7 €
Ja: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

247 €
Ja: 75%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

1,3 €
Below 10%: 18%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through.

Polymarket
  • (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
  • Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify.