KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Economy and cost of living 86.2%Führend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Economy and cost of living 86.2%Marktqualitat
76 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
41.819,9 €
Liquidität
29.278,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
24. Sept. 26, 21:00 UTC6. Nov. 26, 16:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
KalshiWill the ICC issue an arrest warrant against a sitting world leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 2025 be referred to as the start of the second Great Depression?
Manifold MarketsAre Trump’s Tariffs part of a strategy to restructure the US Debt, Dollar, Trade & Global Financial System? 🇺🇸🏛️🤑
Manifold MarketsPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiUS imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?
PolymarketRegeln
If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for every answer choice that maps to it on the national U.S. House exit poll's most-important-issue question as displayed by the source, whatever its exact title.
- If more than one such question is displayed, the one asking which issue mattered most to the respondent's vote governs.
- An answer choice maps to a strike only if its wording contains, as a whole word or phrase and ignoring capitalization and singular or plural form, one of the terms listed for that strike: economy, economic, inflation, price, cost, cost of living, affordability, affordable, job, tax, tariff or trade (the named outcome); Iran, war, foreign policy, national security or terrorism (the named outcome); immigration, border or deportation (Immigration); democracy (Democracy); the named outcome or healthcare (the named outcome); abortion (Abortion); and crime or public safety (Crime).
- An answer choice containing terms listed for more than one strike maps only to the strike whose term appears first in it.
- Any other answer choice, including gun policy, maps to no strike and is compared on its own percentage.