KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before 2027 4%
Marktqualitat
74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
476 €
Liquidität
962.077,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.0% / 5.4%
Spread
1.4 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
11. Dez. 25, 22:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
KalshiTariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
PolymarketWill the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump tariff Canada 100%
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Wall Street JournalCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCThe GuardianSouth China Morning PostCBCABCBBCThe Washington PostThe VergeABC News Australia
- Clarification (12/18/25): For this market to resolve to Yes, a Source Agency must report that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue.
- A Source Agency writing that someone (e.g., the President) claimed the payments are from tariff revenue does not satisfy this requirement.
- The Source Agency must report it as fact, not as a claim made by another party.
- For example, "Millions of Americans received payments this week, which were funded by tariff revenue" would qualify, whereas "Trump said the payments received yesterday are funded by tariff revenue" would not qualify.
- If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 113.567,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9370,7 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6086,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4317,4 €
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1139,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1139,4 €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks??
- Kalshi bewertet Before 2027 mit 4% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? entschieden?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.