Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026?
FedOne-OffTrade PolicyWeather3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 70.8%
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Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet12. Apr. 26, 10:08 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point during the calendar year 2026, the German federal government officially legislates or enacts a regulatory change that entirely eliminates the Einspeisevergütung (feed-in tariff) for new, small-scale photovoltaic installations.
- "Small-scale" is defined according to the thresholds established in the Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz (EEG) at the time of the potential policy change.
- If the tariff is modified, reduced, or restructured but not fully repealed for all new small-scale systems, the market will resolve to NO.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action (BMWK) or the publication of amended EEG legislation in the Bundesgesetzblatt (Federal Law Gazette).
- The Einspeisevergütung is a core component of the German Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz (EEG), designed to incentivize the expansion of renewable energy by guaranteeing grid operators pay fixed rates for electricity fed into the grid.
Offene Märkte
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 71% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026? entschieden?
- Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria