Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 43 Minuten
24. Jan. 26, 14:35 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada?
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
KalshiTrump announces Canada tariff decrease by which date?
PolymarketUS effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if President Trump imposes a 100% tariff on the majority of all Canadian imports.
- Resolution will be determined by official U.S. government announcements, executive orders, or proclamations published on the White House website or Federal Register.
- The tariff must be formally implemented and take effect to resolve YES.
- If Trump threatens but does not implement a 100% tariff, or implements a rate below 100%, the market resolves NO.
- On January 24, 2026, Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on all Canadian imports if Canada makes a trade deal with China.