Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Stunden
Veraltet24. Jan. 26, 14:35 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWill Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”
Manifold MarketsWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
KalshiUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if President Trump imposes a 100% tariff on the majority of all Canadian imports.
- Resolution will be determined by official U.S. government announcements, executive orders, or proclamations published on the White House website or Federal Register.
- The tariff must be formally implemented and take effect to resolve YES.
- If Trump threatens but does not implement a 100% tariff, or implements a rate below 100%, the market resolves NO.
- On January 24, 2026, Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on all Canadian imports if Canada makes a trade deal with China.
Offene Märkte
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 113.567,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9370,7 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6086,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4317,4 €
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1139,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1139,4 €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump tariff Canada 100%?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump tariff Canada 100% entschieden?
- Will Trump tariff Canada 100% soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump tariff Canada 100% abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria