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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

1.0% (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsLatin America6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 60%-1.0%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

4,9 €

Liquidität

366,6 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

57.0% / 62.0%

Spread

8.8%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

17. März 26, 14:001. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Before May 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before Jan 1, 202760%

Regeln

If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
  • A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
  • If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
  • If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

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100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

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Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

41,8 €
Before 2027: 11%KalshiKALSHI
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

5,9 €
$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KalshiKALSHI
Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

0,4 €
Ja: 20%KalshiKALSHI
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

177,9 €
Ja: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,679.67+2.61%EthereumETH$1,652.39+2.20%SolanaSOL$65.15+1.87%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+2.06%XRPXRP$1.12+0.57%BNBBNB$594.69+1.85%

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Regeln

If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
  • A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
  • If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
  • If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.