PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 11%
Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
1143,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.0% / 15.0%
Spread
114.3%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-4.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
29. Juni 26, 19:2631. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes11%
Volumentrend
$7955. Juli3T Daten7. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
17.490,8 €Before 2027: 8%
KALSHI
KALSHI
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
3418 €$0 / No Acquisition: 83%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Trump say during the Defense and Innovation Summit?
2817,2 €Tariff: 52%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?
901,9 €Ja: 8.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the US and Brazil close a rare earths deal in 2026?
179,7 €Ja: 29%FUTUUR
FUTUURUS to impose tariffs on Denmark's imports before the 2028 elections?
110,2 €Ja: 50%FUTUUR
FUTUURIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court rebuff hits Trump as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%Blockchain.NewsRoss impeachment warning hits Polymarket as Starmer exit odds rise to 91.5%Blockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
- A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.