Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
1.0 Pkt. (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS Politics3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 91.1%+1.0pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
7834,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.0% / 10.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
29. Juni 26, 19:26 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
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PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
- A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.