PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 93.1%
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
787,8 €
Liquidität
9210,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
1
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
10. Sept. 26, 16:32 UTC1. Apr. 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
KalshiWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates a general dividend, rebate, or stimulus payment meeting the criteria below by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whether by signing federal legislation, by executive action, or by any other official mechanism.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any bill enacted into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
- To qualify, the payment must be for an amount of at least $5,000 per recipient and must be distributed to a broad segment of individual US taxpayers.
- A payment is "broad" if eligibility for it extends to at least a majority (50%) of U.S. individual taxpayers, or if eligibility is limited only by general income thresholds and/or household or filing status rather than by any narrower category.
- The payment must be established as a new, distinct dividend, rebate, or stimulus payment.