KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 79%
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
79.0% / 85.0%
Spread
7.6%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
3. Juni 26, 23:304. Feb. 27, 13:29
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes79%
Verwandte Märkte
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
108,3 €Ja: 2%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
682,7 €Ja: 89%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
0 €December 31,: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
0 €Ja: 19%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the United States impose additional tariffs on China by December 31, 2026?
0 €Ja: 33%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEX
What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
0 €10% or above: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the calendar-year 2026 U.S. goods trade deficit with China, as calculated from the U.S.
- Census Bureau’s “Trade in Goods with China” table.
- For the purposes of this market, the deficit equals: 2026 imports from China minus 2026 exports to China
- The market resolves to Yes if that amount is less than $150 billion.
- The market resolves to No if that amount is greater than or equal to $150 billion.