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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

1.0% (24h)One-OffRussia / UkraineEurope6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 19%+1.0%
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0,1 €

Liquidität

5,4 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

18.0% / 19.0%

Spread

5.6%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

4. Mai 26, 19:301. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes19%

Regeln

If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status means any formal EU-approved pre-accession status or arrangement, however described, that allows Ukraine to sit in, attend, observe, or be represented at meetings of EU ministers, EU leaders, or EU institutions without voting rights before Ukraine becomes a full EU Member State.
  • Candidate-country status, accession negotiations, EU-law screening, funding access, or Ukraine’s existing EU Association Agreement shall not qualify unless Ukraine receives new non-voting participation or representation rights in EU ministerial, leaders’, or institutional meetings.
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.

Verwandte Märkte

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

735,3 €
Ja: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 15 - June 21)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 15 - June 21)

662,6 €
Football / Soccer: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

158,6 €
December 31: 10%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2026

3052,9 €
Ja: 1.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Russian attacks or invades Latvia by mid 2026

188 €
Ja: 2.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will the EU disburse any funds under the €90 billion Ukraine Support Loan by 30 June 2026?

8,7 €
Ja: 90.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status means any formal EU-approved pre-accession status or arrangement, however described, that allows Ukraine to sit in, attend, observe, or be represented at meetings of EU ministers, EU leaders, or EU institutions without voting rights before Ukraine becomes a full EU Member State.
  • Candidate-country status, accession negotiations, EU-law screening, funding access, or Ukraine’s existing EU Association Agreement shall not qualify unless Ukraine receives new non-voting participation or representation rights in EU ministerial, leaders’, or institutional meetings.
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.