KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1180,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.0% / 10.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
4. Mai 26, 19:30 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Canada gain EU associate status?
KalshiWill Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia military action against EU country by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the European Union
- Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status means any formal EU-approved pre-accession status or arrangement, however described, that allows Ukraine to sit in, attend, observe, or be represented at meetings of EU ministers, EU leaders, or EU institutions without voting rights before Ukraine becomes a full EU Member State.
- Candidate-country status, accession negotiations, EU-law screening, funding access, or Ukraine’s existing EU Association Agreement shall not qualify unless Ukraine receives new non-voting participation or representation rights in EU ministerial, leaders’, or institutional meetings.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
Offene Märkte
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt30%
- October 31+0.5pt16%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 109.065,1 €
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Yes+4.5pt72%
- No-4.5pt28%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 521.590,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 61.846,7 €
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202713%
- December5%
- July0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
- December 31-4.5pt33%
- September 30+0.5pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 291.823 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 36.201,2 €
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt71%
- November 30,+2.0pt62%
- October 31,61%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms-0.8pt16%
- Save the Children+0.8pt12%
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
- Russia military action against EU country by which date?
- EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by which date?
- Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.