PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.09.2026, 20:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 34%+1.5ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
17,3 €
Liquidität
1624,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
2.4 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
9
7d-Änderung
-2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert24. Feb. 26, 2:081. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Offene Märkte
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)-1.0pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 20,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 221.756,7 €
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt24%
- October 31-2.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt15%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 301.751,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 44.579,1 €
POLYMARKETWill Russia enter Hannivka by which date?
- December 31+16.9pt98%
- September 30+39.0pt97%
- August 31-5.0pt0%
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt39%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.1pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Will Russia capture Sumy by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31 mit 34% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date? entschieden?
- Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).