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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

4.0% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31
December 31 12%-4.0%
Marktqualitat

73 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

22.319,6 €

Liquidität

106.400 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-4.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

23. Sept. 25, 23:2431. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

December 3112%

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Territory will will be considered captured if any part of Crimea shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify.
  • Once Ukraine captures territory in Crimea, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
  • If Ukraine comes into control of territory in Crimea as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded blue in the ISW map.

Verwandte Märkte

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

80.869,3 €
December 31: 16%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

48.777,9 €
December 31,: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

46.008,1 €
Ja: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,6 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

446,9 €
Ja: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
Ja: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Verwandte Nachrichten

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Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Territory will will be considered captured if any part of Crimea shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify.
  • Once Ukraine captures territory in Crimea, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
  • If Ukraine comes into control of territory in Crimea as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded blue in the ISW map.