KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Christopher Luxon · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Christopher Luxon 45.5%Führend unter 35 Optionen
Christopher Luxon 45.5%Marktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4589,8 €
Open Interest
1,2 Mio. $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Christopher LuxonSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
11. Nov. 25, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Christopher Luxon
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
KalshiWhich of these 10 Asian leaders will leave office next?
PredictItWhich World Leaders will leave office before EOY 2027? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWhich of these 10 European leaders will leave office next?
PredictItWhich leaders will meet before 2027?
KalshiWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItRegeln
If Christopher Luxon has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of New Zealand or has actually left Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:office or organization where person holds officeThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes. "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Christopher Luxon
- If Christopher Luxon has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of New Zealand or has actually left Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sébastien Lecornu
- If Sébastien Lecornu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of France or has actually left Prime Minister of France before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Edi Rama
- If Edi Rama has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Albania or has actually left Prime Minister of Albania before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pedro Sánchez
- If Pedro Sánchez has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Spain or has actually left Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel has either officially announced their intention to leave as First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba or has actually left First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy
- If Volodymyr Zelenskyy has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Ukraine or has actually left President of Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cyril Ramaphosa
- If Cyril Ramaphosa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of South Africa or has actually left President of South Africa before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rodrigo Paz Pereira
- If Rodrigo Paz Pereira has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Bolivia or has actually left President of Bolivia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Delcy Rodriguez
- If Delcy Rodriguez has either officially announced their intention to leave as Acting President of Venezuela or has actually left Acting President of Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mohammed bin Salman
- If Mohammed bin Salman has either officially announced their intention to leave as Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia or has actually left Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Friedrich Merz
- If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Emmanuel Macron
- If Emmanuel Macron has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of France or has actually left President of France before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Daniel Noboa
- If Daniel Noboa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Ecuador or has actually left President of Ecuador before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Félix Tshisekedi
- If Félix Tshisekedi has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo or has actually left President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mette Frederiksen
- If Mette Frederiksen has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Denmark or has actually left Prime Minister of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ramzan Kadyrov
- If Ramzan Kadyrov has either officially announced their intention to leave as Head of the Chechen Republic or has actually left Head of the Chechen Republic before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kim Jong Un
- If Kim Jong Un has either officially announced their intention to leave as Supreme Leader of North Korea or has actually left Supreme Leader of North Korea before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vladimir Putin
- If Vladimir Putin has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Russia or has actually left President of Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Denis Sassou Nguesso
- If Denis Sassou Nguesso has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of the Republic of the Congo or has actually left President of the Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jens-Frederik Nielsen
- If Jens-Frederik Nielsen has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Greenland or has actually left Prime Minister of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Brazil or has actually left President of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Narendra Modi
- If Narendra Modi has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of India or has actually left Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lee Jae Myung
- If Lee Jae Myung has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of South Korea or has actually left President of South Korea before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Javier Milei
- If Javier Milei has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Argentina or has actually left President of Argentina before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mark Carney
- If Mark Carney has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Canada or has actually left Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Giorgia Meloni
- If Giorgia Meloni has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Italy or has actually left Prime Minister of Italy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
- If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Türkiye or has actually left President of Türkiye before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Xi Jinping
- If Xi Jinping has either officially announced their intention to leave as General Secretary of the Communist Party of China or has actually left General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Claudia Sheinbaum
- If Claudia Sheinbaum has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Mexico or has actually left President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ahmad al-Sharaa
- If Ahmad al-Sharaa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Syria or has actually left President of Syria before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nayib Bukele
- If Nayib Bukele has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of El Salvador or has actually left President of El Salvador before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Frederik X
- If Frederik X has either officially announced their intention to leave as King of Denmark or has actually left King of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sanae Takaichi
- If Sanae Takaichi has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Japan or has actually left Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Irfaan Ali
- If Irfaan Ali has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Guyana or has actually left President of Guyana before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? · Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%
