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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

1.0% (24h)YearlyPolitikGeopolitikMiddle East6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu 43%-1.0%
Führend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat

71 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

21,5 €

Liquidität

10.325,2 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

44.0% / 45.0%

Spread

2.3%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

11. Nov. 25, 15:002. Jan. 27, 3:17

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Benjamin Netanyahu43%

Regeln

If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
  • Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
  • The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
  • "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.

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Will the U.S. Department of Defense officially confirm the deployment of more than 1,000 conventional 'boots on the grou

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When will there be significant shipping interruptions in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait?

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,682.54+2.38%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.80%EthereumETH$1,651.16+1.73%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.95%HyperliquidHYPE$55.26+0.10%XRPXRP$1.12+0.49%

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Regeln

If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
  • Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
  • The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
  • "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.