Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseKeir Starmer- UK 100%Führend unter 16 Optionen
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet19. Mai 26, 00:22 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
100%
100%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
(Add Answers) Which political figures/World leaders will pass before the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets[Add answers] Who or what will first solve Navier-Stokes before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Jason Slaughter of Not Just Bikes be first featured as a competitor on Jet Lag: The Game? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiWhich of these African leaders will leave office next?
KalshiWhich of these 10 Asian leaders will leave office next?
PredictItRegeln
Update 2026-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a leader leaves office and later returns to office, their answer still resolves YES.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which World Leaders will leave office before EOY 2027? (Add Answers)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Keir Starmer- UK mit 100% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which World Leaders will leave office before EOY 2027? (Add Answers) entschieden?
- Which World Leaders will leave office before EOY 2027? (Add Answers) soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which World Leaders will leave office before EOY 2027? (Add Answers) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Update 2026-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a leader leaves office and later returns to office, their answer still resolves YES.