Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Prognostiker
46
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet20. Feb. 26, 23:02 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which World Leaders will leave office before EOY 2027? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWhich of these Four World Leaders in Asia will lose power first?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsPrice of gas on Election Day?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate Election
Manifold MarketsRegeln
To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.
- Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
- If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Christopher Luxon 43%
