Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Prognostiker
40
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet20. Feb. 26, 23:0231. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
100%
Regeln
To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.
- Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
- If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Keir Starmer 100%
- Auch verfügbar auf Gemini — Which world leaders will leave office in 2026? · Viktor Orbán 100%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which World Leaders will be out in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) mit 100% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? entschieden?
- Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.
- Wo wird Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi, Gemini gelistet.