KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2028 21%
Before Jan 1, 2028 21%Marktqualitat
42 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
214,8 €
Open Interest
1379,4 €
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
13.0% / 19.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
28. Juli 26, 16:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
PolymarketWill the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026?
KalshiWill Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?
KalshiWill China impose new trade restrictions on Taiwan before October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsCopper price on October 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiWill Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Federal Register
- A qualifying restriction is an additional duty above 0%, tariff-rate quota, absolute quota, or other binding quantitative import limit. Coverage through a successor or broader provision qualifies only if it fully encompasses the target line. Country carve-outs, metal-content thresholds, and other generally applicable conditions do not disqualify coverage, but coverage limited to a product or end-use subset of the line does. The restriction must take effect; merely signing or issuing an instrument with a later effective date does not qualify until that date. Only reporting from the Federal Register qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.